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If you want to be an integral part of the conservative movement in Kings County California, you will find camaraderie and commitment in your local Republican Party. Like you, we are concerned about our community, our state, and our nation.

You will find the Republican Party of Kings County is an engaged and active force for conservative values in Central California. 

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  • News & Updates

    Impact of Presidential Approval on Mid-Term Elections

    By netboots, on Dec 18, 2009

    [Source: California Republican Party News]

    <span class="postheader">By CRP Chairman Ron Nehring<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Big Government</span><br /><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><span style="font-weight: bold;"><span style="font-weight: bold;"></span></span></span><strong></strong></span><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><span style="font-weight: bold;"><br /></span></span>Barack Obama's public approval rating has dropped to as low as 47% in the last week, according to <a href="http://www.gallup.com/poll/124610/Brief-Uptick-Obama-Approval-Slips.aspx">Gallup</a>. Although the President will not appear on the ballot again until 2012, how the public views his presidency will have a direct impact on each party's performance in next year's mid-term elections. <p style="text-align: center;"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-48090" title="obama_approval_index_december_16_2009" src="http://biggovernment.com/files/2009/12/obama_approval_index_december_16_2009.jpg" alt="obama_approval_index_december_16_2009" width="400" height="300" /></p> <p>The party holding the White House has lost seats in 10 of the last 12 mid-terms, going back to President Kennedy's 1962 losses. Even in that year, with a 74% approval rating following the resolution of the Cuban Missile Crisis, Kennedy's Democrats lost seats in the House. Historically, the public uses mid-term elections to correct for the perceived excesses of the party in power, while the absence of coattail effects may result in some seats reverting back to the party with the natural advantage in the district.</p> <p>IMPACT ON CONGRESSIONAL RACES. The magnitude of the net losses suffered by the President's party in Congress has been in direct, inverse proportion to the President's public approval rating on Election Day. The party in control of the White House suffered the most in 1966, 1974 and 1994 when the incumbent's approval ratings were all under 50%. High approval ratings of President Clinton in 1998 (66%) and President Bush in 2002 (63%) helped the governing party gain seats in those two years - a historical aberration.</p> <p><span id="more-46906"></span></p> <p>IMPACT ON STATE RACES. The spillover effect of Presidential approval directly impacts state legislative contests as well. The magnitude of losses suffered by the President's party in legislative races has been similar to those in Congressional contests. The public has demonstrated it will hold state legislative candidates of the President's party accountable for the President's actions. The same three cycles when incumbent Presidents were at their lowest mid-term approvals also saw the greatest net loss of state legislative seats for the President's party. Lyndon Johnson's Democrats lost 762 legislative seats in 1966 when Johnson's approval stood at 49%. Republicans lost 628 seats with Richard Nixon at 47% in 1974. While Republicans took control of Congress in 1994 due in part to Bill Clinton's 46% approval, Democrats also lost 514 state legislative seats that year.</p> <p>AVERAGE LOSSES. When the President's approval rating has been above 60% on Election Day, the average net loss has been zero House seats and 15 state legislative seats. At between 50% and 59%, the President's party has on average lost 12 House seats and 217 legislative seats. And an approval rating under 50% has typically resulted in a wipeout of 41 House and 477 state legislative seats lost by the President's party. Barack Obama's approval rating within the last week has hovered between 47% and 50% in Gallup's surveys.</p> <p>Presidential approval ratings alone are unlikely to result in any lopsided district changing parties. However, the impact in marginal districts (such as those held by Democrats but won by John McCain in 2008) can potentially be sufficient to impact the final outcome.</p><p>...</p><p><span style="font-size:85%;">Link to <a href="http://biggovernment.com/2009/12/17/impact-of-presidential-approval-on-mid-term-elections/">Big Government</a>. </span><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/4415342305243133312-10723046521025132?l=blog.cagop.org' alt='' /></div>

    Impact of Presidential Approval on Mid-Term Elections

    By netboots, on Dec 18, 2009

    [Source: California Republican Party News]

    By CRP Chairman Ron Nehring
    Big Government

    Barack Obama–s public approval rating has dropped to as low as 47% in the last week, according to Gallup. Although the President will not appear on the ballot again until 2012, how the public views his presidency will have a direct impact on each party–s performance in next year–s mid-term elections.

    "obama_approval_index_december_16_2009"

    The party holding the White House has lost seats in 10 of the last 12 mid-terms, going back to President Kennedy–s 1962 losses. Even in that year, with a 74% approval rating following the resolution of the Cuban Missile Crisis, Kennedy–s Democrats lost seats in the House. Historically, the public uses mid-term elections to correct for the perceived excesses of the party in power, while the absence of coattail effects may result in some seats reverting back to the party with the natural advantage in the district.

    IMPACT ON CONGRESSIONAL RACES. The magnitude of the net losses suffered by the President–s party in Congress has been in direct, inverse proportion to the President–s public approval rating on Election Day. The party in control of the White House suffered the most in 1966, 1974 and 1994 when the incumbent–s approval ratings were all under 50%. High approval ratings of President Clinton in 1998 (66%) and President Bush in 2002 (63%) helped the governing party gain seats in those two years ‎ a historical aberration.

    IMPACT ON STATE RACES. The spillover effect of Presidential approval directly impacts state legislative contests as well. The magnitude of losses suffered by the President–s party in legislative races has been similar to those in Congressional contests. The public has demonstrated it will hold state legislative candidates of the President–s party accountable for the President–s actions. The same three cycles when incumbent Presidents were at their lowest mid-term approvals also saw the greatest net loss of state legislative seats for the President–s party. Lyndon Johnson–s Democrats lost 762 legislative seats in 1966 when Johnson–s approval stood at 49%. Republicans lost 628 seats with Richard Nixon at 47% in 1974. While Republicans took control of Congress in 1994 due in part to Bill Clinton–s 46% approval, Democrats also lost 514 state legislative seats that year.

    AVERAGE LOSSES. When the President–s approval rating has been above 60% on Election Day, the average net loss has been zero House seats and 15 state legislative seats. At between 50% and 59%, the President–s party has on average lost 12 House seats and 217 legislative seats. And an approval rating under 50% has typically resulted in a wipeout of 41 House and 477 state legislative seats lost by the President–s party. Barack Obama–s approval rating within the last week has hovered between 47% and 50% in Gallup–s surveys.

    Presidential approval ratings alone are unlikely to result in any lopsided district changing parties. However, the impact in marginal districts (such as those held by Democrats but won by John McCain in 2008) can potentially be sufficient to impact the final outcome.

    ...

    Link to Big Government.

    CRP Statement Concerning Failed Recall Attempt of Republican Councilman Jerry Kern in Oceanside

    By netboots, on Dec 8, 2009

    [Source: California Republican Party News]

    SAN DIEGO - California Republican Party Chairman Ron Nehring tonight issued the following statement:<br /><br />"Unions attempting to abuse the recall process in a thinly veiled attempt to rig the Oceanside city council just as contract negotiations are set to begin have been defeated, and rightly so. Republican Councilman Kern is an outstanding public servant who was targeted because he was seen as a friend of taxpayers and not a pawn of local labor officials.<br /><br />"Congratulations to Councilman Kern, the Republican Party of San Diego County, the San Diego Lincoln Club, and the entire team that mobilized so effectively to turn back this blatant abuse of the recall process for financial gain. Tonight's victory is not only a major win for the Republican Party, but for all taxpayers. Oceanside citizens have sent the message loud and clear that abuse of the recall process to rig contact negotiations is unacceptable.<div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/4415342305243133312-3985703710494526588?l=blog.cagop.org' alt='' /></div>

    CRP Statement Concerning Failed Recall Attempt of Republican Councilman Jerry Kern in Oceanside

    By netboots, on Dec 8, 2009

    [Source: California Republican Party News]

    SAN DIEGO - California Republican Party Chairman Ron Nehring tonight issued the following statement:

    "Unions attempting to abuse the recall process in a thinly veiled attempt to rig the Oceanside city council just as contract negotiations are set to begin have been defeated, and rightly so. Republican Councilman Kern is an outstanding public servant who was targeted because he was seen as a friend of taxpayers and not a pawn of local labor officials.

    "Congratulations to Councilman Kern, the Republican Party of San Diego County, the San Diego Lincoln Club, and the entire team that mobilized so effectively to turn back this blatant abuse of the recall process for financial gain. Tonight's victory is not only a major win for the Republican Party, but for all taxpayers. Oceanside citizens have sent the message loud and clear that abuse of the recall process to rig contact negotiations is unacceptable.

    McKeon, Cantor Introduce Resolution Allowing Congressional Medal of Honor Recipients to Fly the American Flag

    By netboots, on Dec 7, 2009

    [Source: California Republican Party News]

    <p class="MsoNormal"><b>WASHINGTON, D.C. - </b>Today, Rep. Howard P. "Buck" McKeon (R-CA) and Republican Whip Eric Cantor (R-VA) introduced a resolution, <b>H. Res. 952</b>, allowing Congressional Medal of Honor recipients to properly display the United States flag on their property at all times.<o:p></o:p></p> <p class="MsoNormal">Recent media reports, including from the <a title="blocked::http://www.marklevinshow.com/article.asp?id=1261987" href="http://www.marklevinshow.com/article.asp?id=1261987">Mark Levin Show</a>, uncovered a 90 year old Medal of Honor recipient, Col. Van T. Barfoot, who was ordered by his homeowner association last week to remove a flagpole from his yard, where he raises the American flag faithfully each morning.<o:p></o:p></p> <p class="MsoNormal"><i>"I was appalled to learn that one of our decorated Congressional Medal of Honor veterans was being prevented from proudly displaying the Flag of the United States of America in an honorable way," </i>said <b>Rep. McKeon</b>. <i>"This reminds me of that famous quote by George Washington: 'The willingness with which our young people are likely to serve in any war, no matter how justified, shall be directly proportional as to how they perceive the Veterans of earlier wars were treated and appreciated by their country.' Our service men and women - especially those living with honors and distinction- should be allowed to fly the flag that represents the very freedoms they fought so hard to protect."<o:p></o:p></i></p> <p class="MsoNormal"><i>"It's a sad day when a veteran of three wars is told he cannot fly the American flag on a poll outside of his home," </i>said <b>Republican Whip Cantor. </b>"<i>Col. Barfoot made countless sacrifices, wore our country's uniform with honor, and has earned the right to proudly display the American flag. I thank Col. Barfoot for his service and support his patriotism and efforts, as well as those here in the House, to allow him to fly his flag." <o:p></o:p></i></p> <p style="" class="MsoNormal">Barfoot resides in Henrico County, Virginia.</p><p style="" class="MsoNormal"><a title="blocked::http://www.mckeon.house.gov/" href="http://www.mckeon.house.gov/">www.McKeon.House.Gov</a><br /></p><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/4415342305243133312-4011085878984500122?l=blog.cagop.org' alt='' /></div>